Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.The commander of the intelligence command of the South Korean Ministry of Defense was suspended. On December 10, local time, the South Korean Ministry of National Defense announced that it would take suspension measures against Wen Xianghu, commander of the intelligence command of the Ministry of National Defense. (CCTV News)A mountain fire broke out in Yajiang, Sichuan Province, and more than 140 people have been transferred and resettled. There are no reports of casualties. At 15: 20 on December 9, 2024, a mountain fire broke out in Chengxiang Village, Hekou Town, Yajiang County, Ganzi Prefecture, Sichuan Province. After the fire broke out, Ganzi Prefecture immediately launched a three-level emergency response and quickly organized more than 300 rescue forces to carry out fighting. At present, more than 140 people have been transferred and resettled, and no casualties have been reported. (CCTV News)
Foreign media: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban posted that he met with Trump and Musk at Haihu Manor. According to CNN and Russian Tass News Agency on the 9th, Hungarian Prime Minister Orban went to the United States at the invitation of President-elect Trump, and met with Trump at Haihu Manor in Florida. American billionaire Musk also attended the talks. According to the report, Orban posted on social media X on the 9th: "America today. The future has begun! One afternoon at Haihu Manor with Trump, Musk and Mike Valcz (appointed by Trump as US National Security Adviser-Editor's Note). " (World Wide Web)Recruitment platform Indeded: Job vacancies in the UK are falling faster than those in other developed countries. The recruitment platform Indeded said on Tuesday that job vacancies in the UK have fallen faster than those in other developed countries in the past year, which is another sign that the British economy lost momentum in the second half of this year. Indeed data shows that as of November 29, the number of British job advertisements posted on its platform decreased by 23% compared with the same period of last year, which was even greater than the 14% decline from August to October according to official data. France is only a little better than Britain, and the number of job vacancies has dropped by 22% compared with the same period of last year, while other comparable countries, including the United States, Germany, Ireland, Canada and Australia, have dropped by 5% to 15%.Xinhua Commentary: China's monetary policy has changed from "prudent" to "moderately loose" to send a positive signal. The commentary published by Xinhua News Agency on the 10th pointed out that the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Conference held on the 9th analyzed and studied the economic work in 2025, in which the expression of monetary policy attracted people's attention. After a lapse of more than 10 years, the change of monetary policy orientation to "moderately loose" once again reflects the supportive monetary policy stance and sends a positive signal, which will strongly boost the confidence of all parties and help China's economy recover. The change of monetary policy is always closely related to a country's macroeconomic situation. This time, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party made it clear that the monetary policy will be "moderately loose" next year, not only because of the analysis and judgment of the current economic situation, but also because of the planning and consideration of the economic work next year. The timely adjustment of "loose is loose, tight is tight" will create a good monetary and financial environment for stable economic growth and high-quality development next year. From "steady" to "moderately loose", the change is the tightness of monetary policy, which is directly related to the blood of funds in the real economy. "Moderately loose" monetary policy means a reasonable money supply, a low interest rate and a relatively loose monetary and credit environment, which is conducive to further increasing financial support for key areas and weak links, guiding more funds to invest in scientific and technological innovation, people's livelihood consumption and other fields, promoting consumption and expanding investment, and better stimulating the endogenous motivation and innovation vitality of the whole society. From "steady" to "moderately loose", what remains unchanged is the supportive monetary policy stance. Since the beginning of this year, monetary policy has increased countercyclical adjustment in a timely manner. Although the tone of this year's monetary policy is "stable", on the whole, the monetary policy is flexible and moderate in implementation, and the market generally feels that China's monetary policy is in a stable and slightly loose state. The "moderately loose" monetary policy orientation next year can better reflect the "supportive" monetary policy stance. The combination of the two will further maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, reduce the comprehensive financing cost of enterprises and residents, and provide financial support for the sustained economic recovery. At present, the expected change has become an important factor affecting the economic operation, and it is helpful to guide the expectation to make clear the monetary policy orientation next year in time. Externally, the international environment will become more complicated and severe next year; Internally, China's development faces many uncertainties and challenges. At this point, clarifying the monetary policy for next year, responding to market concerns, and releasing a clear signal will help promote China's sustained economic recovery. (Xinhua News Agency)
Ukrainian President: At present, the focus is not on lowering the age of conscription in Ukraine. In the early morning of December 10th, local time, Ukrainian President Zelensky said on social media that the current priority should be to provide missiles and weaken Russian military potential, rather than lowering the age of conscription in Ukraine. Zelensky said that we should focus on equipping the existing troops and training personnel to use these equipment, and we should not make up for the lack of equipment and training by lowering the age of conscription. Earlier, a number of western media reported on November 27th that the Biden administration of the United States was urging the Ukrainian government to lower the minimum age of conscription from 25 to 18, in order to cope with the shortage of Ukrainian troops in the current situation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. (CCTV News)Mizuho: Raise GM's target price from $59 to $62, and maintain the rating of "outperforming the market".Yonhap News Agency: South Korea's defense intelligence commander was suspended.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13